|
Long
range weather forecast for winter 20011/12 |
The latest
forecast from the French site lachainemeteo.com
predicts a cold dry November followed by a
"normal" December and January with
slightly below average precipitation.
tvmountain.com
also have their own forecast in French
and a translation into English on pistehors.com
read with caution though, it's gloom and doom! |
|
"Snow
next week", says Meteo France!! |
In the streets of
Chamonix, the world capital of mountaineering,
ski-ing aficionados look up each morning with a
frown. "Storm... of blue sky, over Mont
Blanc." Elsewhere in France, it's the same
story.
Nothing, not even the smallest snowflake to ski on
during September. October. November...! Last
Friday, with the temperature drop in the valley,
the snow guns in Les Houches were fired-up, but
didn't really
create a wintry atmosphere. "La Verte des
Houches", which is to host the downhill World
Cup in January, has never so aptly named: lovely,
deep expanses of... grass. see webcam
But now, on the digital computer horizon, weather
models are starting to predict... snow! Cold air
from Canada is, as we speak, heading to Europe!
"We can now clearly see cold air coming from
Canada over the Atlantic and heading for
Europe", the Chamonix meteorologist, Yan
Giezendanner, assurres us. "It will soon push
away the warm anticyclone that's sitting ontop of
us". Basically, this means humidity and
therefore... snow.
Like Yan, Météo France predicts a "gradual
release of the anticyclone" pattern of blue
skies and mild temperatures in the coming days.
"It's
been in the pipeline for several days now",
says Météo France. "Bad weather & snow
will be with us by the end of November and early
December. " So, is this the end of the
"Big Blue"?
It would seem so. In its "mountain"
forecast, Météo France have announced, with a
rather high confidence index, "heavy snow on
Monday and Tuesday." Meanwhile, Yan
Giezendanner predicts a couple of weeks (maybe
even three weeks) of snowy weather, with the
rain-snow altitude shifting between the altitude
of Chambéry (ie 271m) and 1500 metres. "It
will not give us the equivalent of previous good
winters, but it should ensure a good season."
You heard it here first!
MeteoNews in Switzerland, has given the same
forecast, predicting a "cooler opening this
weekend."
To prove that the confidence index is good
("4 / 5"), French, European and U.S.
computer models have all come to the same
conclusion, giving the same information for the
end of the month. This, infact, is how these
well-known indices are established: the more the
different models agree, the higher the confidence
index.
For our purposes, in Haute-Savoie, the snow for
the winter season 2011-2012 should be what we're
all hoping for.
Now, we just need to hope that the ground is
sufficiently frozen for the snow-base to be
preserved.
source chamonix.net
and Le
Dauphiné
see all webcams |
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